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It's do-or-die time: Storylines and numbers behind today's final Phase 2 games

Six teams are one BO3 away from clinching a spot to compete in Phase 3.

Banner image: Ubisoft / Kiril B.

Today, the teams will join FaZe Clan, w7m esports, Ninjas in Pyjamas, G2 Esports, and Soniqs in the BLAST R6 Major Copenhagen Phase 3.

The winner of each series will move to the Finals; meanwhile, the loser will be sent home.

SCARZ vs. Spacestation Gaming

From nine teams to just one. By the conclusion of Phase 1, APAC had seven of its nine representatives knocked out.

In Phase 2, SCARZ's two victories against REVEN ECLUB and DPlus KIA have kept the Japanese champions alive. It may not be for long.

Spacestation Gaming will be SCARZ's first North American opposition since the team's Major debut. Until today, the astronauts are yet to be beaten by a Japanese roster — they defeated NORA-Rengo and CYCLOPS athlete gaming at the OGA PIT Season 3 and the Six Invitational 2023, respectively.

If we focus exclusively on Astralis' performances against APAC rosters, the four former members of the red star won a BO3 series against CYCLOPS athlete gaming. 

Moreover, Spacestation Gaming's last loss against an APAC roster was at the Six Sweden Major 2021, where they lost twice against DWG KIA. Eventually, the South Korean players were one bullet away from defeating FaZe Clan.

Heading to the fifth day of Phase 2, SCARZ's player Riku "REChaaN" Katou is the best-rated player at the BLAST R6 Major Copenhagen with a SiegeGG rating of 1.31. 

Precisely, both REChaaN and Spacestation Gaming's player Bryan "Merc" Wrzek have the best entry fragging balances of the competition — 10-3 (+7) and 13-6 (+7), respectively.

If SCARZ loses today's match, it will be the third consecutive major international Siege tournament since the Six Berlin Major without APAC representation in the final playoffs. 

Virtus.pro vs. MNM Gaming

The second match of the day will be a European derby as Virtus.pro and MNM Gaming will meet for the first time this season.

Historically, MNM Gaming have lost two of their three clashes against Virtus.pro, who competed under the name of Outsiders last season.

MNM Gaming's best match against the current core of Virtus.pro was against Team Empire at the Six Invitational 2022, where the British organization defeated the Russian roster by 2-0. It was the Six Mexico Major grand finalists' first loss in the competition, with the second coming against TSM at the Six Invitational 2023 grand final.

MNM Gaming head to today's BO3 as the only side with +10 maps played at the BLAST R6 Major Copenhagen. The British-majority squad has played four BO3 in the last two weeks — against FURY, SANDBOX Gaming, REVEN ECLUB, and M80.

Meanwhile, Virtus.pro has only played four matches. However, the team's opponents have been no joke. Three of Virtus.pro's four rivals at the BLAST R6 Major Copenhagen have been confirmed Phase 3 rosters — Ninjas in Pyjamas (7-4), FaZe Clan (5-7), and G2 Esports (2-7).

Daniil "JoyStiCK" Gabov has been Virtus.pro's best player in Copenhagen, Denmark, with a SiegeGG rating of 1.28. Meanwhile, Fatih "Solotov" Türker has led the marshmallows with a SiegeGG rating of 1.19.

Team Liquid vs. Wolves Esports

Following their disappointing performance at the Six Invitational 2023, Team Liquid are between a rock and a hard place — again. Both teams can't afford a loss, as the defeated side will be sent home.

History-wise, the odds are against Team Liquid. The Brazilian's only victory against a French-majority side dates back to Dec. 2019. It came against Team BDS at the OGA PIT Season 3, Liquid's last international success in Rainbow Six Siege.

Back in the Six Invitational 2023, both sides met in the group stage. Wolves Esports' victory against the Brazilians saw Liquid falling to fourth place, pushing them to the Lower Bracket, where they lost to Team BDS.

Although the team's last encounter is very recent, both rosters head to today's match with new signings — Gabriel "volpz" Fernandes for Team Liquid and Jimmy "DEADSHT" Vojtasik.

Volpz only victory against Wolves Esports came in the Six Berlin Major, where the Brazilian led the Bulls with a SiegeGG rating of 1.84. So far, in Denmark, the former w7m esports player averages a very disappointing 0.79 and has gone 7-13 (-6) in entries.

Lucca "Paluh" Molina and Dahmani "Mowwwgli" Yanis, with SiegeGG ratings of 1.30 and 1.15, respectively, have been the team's best players in Copenhagen, Denmark. 

It's also worth noting Lorenzo "Lagonis" Volpi's performances throughout the BLAST R6 Major Copenhagen, who currently has the seventh-best rating (1.27) and the second-best KOST (83).

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